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Red59
384741.0
999510.8
12722.2
Blue107
541438.1
999910.8
857631.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747205010015020059107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
Unranked
41.00.0
41.041.0
Auto10.5
Teleop23.4
End7.1
red by 2.9
5414
Unranked
38.10.0
38.138.1
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End3.1
Second
127
Unranked
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.4
blue by 9.4
8576
Unranked
31.60.0
31.631.6
Auto2.9
Teleop22.4
End6.3
Third
9995
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto2.3
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Level
9999
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto2.3
Teleop7.4
End1.6