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Red170
769114.7
11885.7
384756.0
Blue52
526119.5
913726.7
458717.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17951010015020025017052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+110Teleop
+120Endgame
+118Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave0
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points9
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +82
24Coral scored#4
87Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
105Total teleop23
Reef
14L4#2
8L3#1
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
35Game pieces#8
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +118
2Foul points4
170Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
85.70.3
85.485.7
Auto21.7
Teleop53.2
End10.8
red by 59.0
26.70.4
27.126.7
Auto4.4
Teleop20.1
End2.3
Second
56.00.3
55.756.0
Auto13.2
Teleop33.3
End9.5
red by 36.5
19.50.4
19.919.5
Auto3.8
Teleop14.8
End0.9
Third
7691
#24
14.70.3
14.414.7
Auto3.2
Teleop9.6
End2.0
blue by 2.4
4587
#22
17.10.4
17.517.1
Auto2.8
Teleop10.6
End3.7