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Red103
882721.4
348115.3
951720.1
Blue36
95165.4
589415.9
711510.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions502802040608010010336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+47Teleop
+51Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +40
10Coral scored#4
36Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
60Total teleop20
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#5
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
24Foul points8
103Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8827
#26
21.41.5
19.120.6
Auto2.9
Teleop14.0
End4.5
red by 5.5
5894
#15
15.90.8
6.45.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Second
9517
#10
20.11.5
12.514.0
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End3.5
red by 9.8
7115
#25
10.31.4
12.411.0
Auto3.3
Teleop4.8
End2.1
Third
3481
#13
15.31.5
9.811.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End2.2
red by 9.9
9516
#27
5.41.4
8.87.4
Auto2.5
Teleop1.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed