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Red113
951720.1
918117.4
348115.3
Blue94
839210.9
1011830.9
589415.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6474408010012011394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+7Teleop
+25Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points6
16Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +6
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
77Total teleop71
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#20
BargeRed +18
20Cage & park2
20Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points6
113Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9517
#10
20.11.0
19.420.5
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End3.5
blue by 10.8
30.90.3
30.630.9
Auto5.5
Teleop16.3
End9.1
Second
9181
#16
17.41.0
16.817.8
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End8.4
red by 1.6
5894
#15
15.90.3
15.615.9
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End0.9
Third
3481
#13
15.31.0
14.615.7
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End2.2
red by 4.4
8392
#18
10.90.3
10.610.9
Auto4.4
Teleop5.5
End1.0