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Red95
62441.0
246836.4
618011.8
Blue115
268735.0
1011828.2
957719.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1079340608010012014016018095115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+6
Endgame+8
Fouls+20
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +6
13Coral scored#16
45Coral points57
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
65Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#6
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points12
95Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#5
41.00.0
41.141.0
Auto10.2
Teleop26.0
End4.8
red by 6.1
2687
#13
35.00.3
34.334.6
Auto6.1
Teleop20.6
End8.3
Second
2468
#10
36.40.0
36.536.4
Auto5.2
Teleop25.4
End5.8
red by 8.2
28.20.3
27.627.9
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End9.1
Third
6180
#23
11.80.0
11.811.8
Auto0.9
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 7.6
9577
#24
19.40.3
18.719.0
Auto4.3
Teleop12.6
End2.4