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Red108
246836.4
618011.8
62441.0
Blue61
950621.6
278931.0
931117.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10783406012014016018010861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+23Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +16
11Coral scored#8
39Coral points29
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
63Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#13
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
108Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#5
41.00.2
41.341.5
Auto10.2
Teleop26.0
End4.8
red by 10.1
31.00.4
31.631.1
Auto6.4
Teleop21.1
End3.5
Second
2468
#10
36.40.2
36.736.9
Auto5.2
Teleop25.4
End5.8
red by 14.8
9506
#14
21.60.4
22.221.8
Auto3.7
Teleop17.0
End0.8
Third
6180
#23
11.80.2
12.012.3
Auto0.9
Teleop8.3
End2.6
blue by 5.8
9311
#18
17.60.4
18.217.8
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End2.2