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Red81
857630.4
215818.6
505212.3
Blue84
950621.6
278931.0
931117.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73860501001508184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +6
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points36
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
12Processor points18
12Net points12
24Algae points30
60Total teleop66
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +3
6Foul points0
81Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8576
#15
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End6.4
blue by 0.6
31.00.1
31.131.0
Auto6.4
Teleop21.1
End3.5
Second
2158
#11
18.60.0
18.718.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.0
End1.7
blue by 3.0
9506
#14
21.60.1
21.821.7
Auto3.7
Teleop17.0
End0.8
Third
5052
#25
12.30.0
12.412.3
Auto1.4
Teleop9.2
End1.7
blue by 5.3
9311
#18
17.60.1
17.817.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.5
End2.2