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Red132
41852.7
288155.7
425113.0
Blue70
618011.8
246836.4
62441.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136965015020013270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+56Teleop
+58Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave3
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
12Coral scored#10
43Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
75Total teleop47
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +62
4Foul points0
132Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.70.2
55.155.3
Auto11.9
Teleop35.9
End8.0
red by 14.6
624
#5
41.00.5
41.541.1
Auto10.2
Teleop26.0
End4.8
Second
418
#4
52.70.2
52.152.3
Auto11.6
Teleop35.3
End5.8
red by 16.3
2468
#10
36.40.5
36.936.5
Auto5.2
Teleop25.4
End5.8
Third
4251
#21
13.00.2
12.412.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.7
End2.2
red by 1.2
6180
#23
11.80.5
12.311.8
Auto0.9
Teleop8.3
End2.6