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Red72
258338.7
873210.1
1001433.2
Blue89
941823.0
677321.9
457B11.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122620501001502002507289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+17
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +17
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
46Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#5
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
6Foul points6
72Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2583
#22
38.72.2
47.345.1
Auto8.7
Teleop29.8
End0.2
red by 15.7
9418
#20
23.01.6
27.929.5
Auto4.3
Teleop16.3
End2.4
Second
33.22.2
36.634.4
Auto10.5
Teleop18.1
End4.6
red by 11.3
21.92.6
14.517.1
Auto4.9
Teleop18.0
End-1.1
Third
8732
#29
10.12.2
14.512.4
Auto2.4
Teleop7.3
End0.5
blue by 1.6
457B
#11
11.72.6
17.219.8
Auto2.6
Teleop7.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed66%Barge oddsMissed