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Red61
415318.9
94578.4
910547.0
Blue22
1031219.2
32826.1
420622.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72792040601001206122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +29
8Coral scored#3
28Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
42Total teleop13
Reef
3L4#1
4L3#0
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
6Foul points0
61Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.01.3
28.026.7
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.2
red by 24.5
4206
#25
22.54.8
39.734.9
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
Second
18.91.3
23.722.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.8
blue by 0.3
19.22.9
11.08.1
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.8
Third
9457
#30
8.41.3
15.013.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.3
End2.1
red by 2.2
3282
#22
6.14.8
14.810.0
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed