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Red93
541145.4
949232.9
750610.2
Blue72
910547.0
70918.3
881615.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions804802040601001209372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+5Teleop
+15Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Coral scored#12
39Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
55Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#16
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
8Foul points2
93Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.41.7
30.632.3
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.9
blue by 1.6
47.02.6
24.427.0
Auto10.5
Teleop31.3
End5.2
Second
32.91.7
23.325.0
Auto5.1
Teleop25.6
End2.1
red by 17.0
8816
#20
15.92.6
9.912.4
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5
Third
7506
#19
10.21.7
15.817.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End2.1
red by 1.9
7091
#26
8.32.6
12.615.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed