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Red19
464118.2
881813.5
70918.3
Blue38
543120.2
881615.9
1031219.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505110203040607080901938

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+23
Endgame+21
Fouls+19
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +23
2Coral scored#6
7Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
7Total teleop30
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
2Foul points0
19Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4641
#14
18.23.5
23.119.6
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End0.7
blue by 1.9
5431
#17
20.21.0
22.721.7
Auto3.0
Teleop14.9
End2.2
Second
8818
#18
13.53.5
13.39.8
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.4
blue by 5.7
19.20.6
11.510.9
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.8
Third
7091
#26
8.33.5
11.78.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End0.2
blue by 7.6
8816
#20
15.91.0
12.411.5
Auto4.4
Teleop10.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed