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Red59
419225.5
129641.3
75354.1
Blue62
652614.2
881813.5
912848.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9372204060801201401605962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+19
Endgame+17
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +12
7Coral scored#8
25Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
35Total teleop47
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#4
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
14Foul points0
59Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.32.4
37.234.8
Auto7.0
Teleop25.0
End9.3
blue by 7.5
48.70.5
37.136.6
Auto13.8
Teleop30.1
End4.9
Second
4192
#24
25.54.0
25.721.8
Auto2.6
Teleop20.7
End2.3
red by 11.3
6526
#21
14.20.3
12.512.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End0.9
Third
7535
#31DQ
4.14.0
17.713.7
Auto1.5
Teleop1.0
End1.6
blue by 9.3
8818
#18
13.50.5
16.616.1
Auto2.7
Teleop10.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed