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Red95
33557.6
14863.3
1031219.2
Blue85
415318.9
949232.9
1034023.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9172204060801001201409585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+16Teleop
+24Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave3
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +5
11Coral scored#9
38Coral points33
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
12Processor points12
8Net points8
20Algae points20
58Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points14
95Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
63.31.0
60.161.1
Auto14.2
Teleop41.2
End7.8
red by 30.4
32.90.4
31.231.6
Auto5.1
Teleop25.6
End2.1
Second
19.21.0
13.814.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.0
End1.8
blue by 4.0
23.20.4
19.820.2
Auto4.2
Teleop17.3
End1.7
Third
3355
#27
7.61.4
6.17.6
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End1.8
blue by 11.3
18.90.4
16.116.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.2
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned