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Red87
420622.5
331039.1
543120.2
Blue62
284833.0
568212.6
541145.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions909860801201408762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +21
10Coral scored#7
35Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
55Total teleop34
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
87Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.4
37.237.6
Auto10.1
Teleop22.1
End6.8
blue by 6.3
45.42.3
40.938.6
Auto10.4
Teleop27.1
End7.9
Second
4206
#25
22.50.6
22.723.2
Auto5.8
Teleop14.7
End1.9
blue by 10.6
33.02.3
34.532.2
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End2.5
Third
5431
#17
20.20.6
20.621.1
Auto3.0
Teleop14.9
End2.2
red by 7.6
5682
#15
12.61.7
12.610.8
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned65%Barge oddsEarned