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Red51
915614.1
750610.2
568212.6
Blue73
284833.0
32826.1
464118.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29660204060801005173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+24
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave0
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +13
7Coral scored#9
25Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
33Total teleop46
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
51Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9156
#28
14.11.6
11.813.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.5
End2.6
blue by 18.9
33.01.5
32.233.6
Auto8.8
Teleop21.7
End2.5
Second
5682
#15
12.61.3
10.812.2
Auto3.0
Teleop7.1
End2.6
blue by 5.6
4641
#14
18.21.5
19.220.7
Auto6.5
Teleop11.1
End0.7
Third
7506
#19
10.21.6
8.39.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End2.1
red by 4.1
3282
#22
6.11.5
3.75.2
Auto2.3
Teleop1.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed