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Red157
118101.1
589241.9
582931.1
Blue68
664736.5
43282.7
742130.8
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2156905010015025030015768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+67Teleop
+71Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave3
8Coral scored#2
38Coral points10
44Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +36
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points29
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
79Total teleop43
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#3
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
18Foul points0
157Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
101.13.1
98.094.8
Auto20.8
Teleop70.4
End9.9
red by 64.5
6647
#15
36.50.6
40.539.9
Auto6.8
Teleop26.9
End2.8
Second
5892
#22
41.93.1
47.844.6
Auto12.3
Teleop26.8
End2.9
red by 11.1
7421
#31
30.80.6
33.432.8
Auto8.0
Teleop20.3
End2.5
Third
5829
#13
31.13.1
31.128.0
Auto6.8
Teleop16.8
End7.5
red by 28.4
4328
#38
2.70.6
3.32.7
Auto1.6
Teleop0.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
86%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed