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Red82
857631.6
817739.1
458711.5
Blue139
680081.2
590821.9
258726.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8114405010020025082139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+57
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave9
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +36
10Coral scored#17
37Coral points61
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
6Processor points18
16Net points16
22Algae points34
59Total teleop95
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#6
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
16Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
82Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8177
#12
39.10.4
40.239.8
Auto9.2
Teleop23.7
End6.2
blue by 42.1
81.20.8
79.279.9
Auto20.4
Teleop49.3
End11.5
Second
8576
#25
31.60.4
32.432.0
Auto2.9
Teleop22.4
End6.3
red by 5.0
2587
#18
26.50.8
21.922.6
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End2.1
Third
4587
#30
11.50.4
9.69.2
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End1.7
blue by 10.4
5908
#32
21.90.8
20.821.6
Auto3.2
Teleop17.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed68%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned