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Red93
999430.3
851521.9
62461.0
Blue68
589241.9
463923.0
288151.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121118801001409368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+33Teleop
+31Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points30
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +26
12Coral scored#5
42Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
52Total teleop26
Reef
8L4#3
3L3#5
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points6
93Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#5
61.00.4
59.258.8
Auto13.0
Teleop44.0
End4.1
red by 9.2
51.73.8
48.444.6
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End5.5
Second
9994
#21
30.30.6
22.622.0
Auto10.6
Teleop18.7
End0.8
blue by 11.6
5892
#22
41.93.8
44.640.8
Auto12.3
Teleop26.8
End2.9
Third
8515
#24
21.90.4
17.417.0
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End3.2
blue by 1.1
4639
#27
23.03.8
26.022.2
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed