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Red113
913725.9
742130.8
288151.7
Blue73
463923.0
458711.5
837017.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1133505010015020011373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+46Teleop
+46Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +32
20Coral scored#12
72Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
86Total teleop54
Reef
11L4#6
5L3#3
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points6
113Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.71.0
44.645.7
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End5.5
red by 28.8
4639
#27
23.01.2
22.223.3
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End2.6
Second
7421
#31
30.81.0
28.229.2
Auto8.0
Teleop20.3
End2.5
red by 13.5
8370
#37
17.31.2
16.918.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
9137
#26
25.91.0
24.825.9
Auto3.9
Teleop20.9
End1.0
red by 14.3
4587
#30
11.51.2
10.311.5
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed