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Red69
43282.7
837017.3
288151.7
Blue91
384741.0
542726.9
664736.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions651160501001502006991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+10
Endgame+24
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave3
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points34
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +11
10Coral scored#6
37Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
51Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +14
0Cage & park14
0Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
2Foul points0
69Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.70.0
45.745.7
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End5.5
red by 10.7
3847
#19
41.00.5
36.235.6
Auto10.5
Teleop23.4
End7.1
Second
8370
#37
17.30.0
18.018.1
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 19.2
6647
#15
36.50.5
37.236.7
Auto6.8
Teleop26.9
End2.8
Third
4328
#38
2.70.0
2.72.7
Auto1.6
Teleop0.3
End0.9
blue by 24.1
5427
#17
26.90.5
25.525.0
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned