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Red26
572619.1
861012.0
59866.5
Blue12
348113.1
753410.2
862515.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365302060801001202612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+8Teleop
+10Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
1Coral scored#0
5Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
5Total teleop0
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points2
26Total score12

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5726
#21
19.10.8
16.615.8
Auto3.2
Teleop14.6
End1.3
red by 3.8
8625
#35
15.32.5
10.78.3
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End1.0
Second
8610
#39
12.00.8
8.78.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.4
End2.1
blue by 1.1
3481
#28
13.14.1
19.315.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.9
End2.6
Third
5986
#16
6.50.8
6.05.2
Auto3.0
Teleop1.5
End2.1
blue by 3.7
7534
#37
10.24.1
16.812.7
Auto2.1
Teleop5.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed