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Red43
882720.6
952411.3
356127.0
Blue35
296911.1
354522.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5944020801004335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+18Teleop
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
4Coral scored#2
16Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
28Total teleop10
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
43Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3561
#11
27.00.6
21.420.7
Auto2.1
Teleop21.8
End3.0
red by 4.1
22.90.4
20.520.1
Auto3.0
Teleop12.4
End7.5
Second
8827
#33
20.61.0
17.916.9
Auto3.5
Teleop13.8
End3.3
red by 9.5
2969
#23
11.10.3
9.99.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.2
End3.0
Third
9524
#41
11.30.9
13.112.2
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End0.5
red by 2.6
8.70.3
8.98.6
Auto2.3
Teleop5.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
7%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsEarned