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Red87
61558.9
295018.0
258246.4
Blue65
94447.8
811414.3
473429.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8557020401001201408765

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +1
9Coral scored#9
34Coral points33
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
44Total teleop43
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
20Foul points2
87Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.40.6
45.444.8
Auto7.4
Teleop30.7
End8.3
red by 17.1
4734
#10
29.30.8
27.828.7
Auto5.8
Teleop20.8
End2.7
Second
2950
#15
18.00.6
16.616.0
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End1.5
red by 3.7
8114
#36
14.30.8
12.213.0
Auto2.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Third
6155
#26
8.90.6
8.17.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End2.0
red by 1.1
9444
#27
7.80.7
7.88.5
Auto3.1
Teleop5.4
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed