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Red102
542728.4
862515.3
557260.4
Blue107
23136.6
550317.1
373530.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116814060100140160180102107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +21
17Coral scored#17
61Coral points62
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
0Processor points12
12Net points20
12Algae points32
73Total teleop94
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#5
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
102Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.1
58.858.9
Auto14.8
Teleop36.7
End8.9
red by 23.8
231
#7
36.62.0
33.235.2
Auto5.7
Teleop26.0
End4.9
Second
5427
#38
28.40.1
26.426.5
Auto4.2
Teleop22.4
End1.8
blue by 2.4
30.82.0
29.831.8
Auto3.6
Teleop25.9
End1.4
Third
8625
#35
15.30.1
15.215.3
Auto3.1
Teleop11.3
End1.0
blue by 1.8
5503
#22
17.12.0
13.715.8
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed