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Red161
557260.4
258246.4
697416.7
Blue126
23136.6
550317.1
367929.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1448750100200161126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+47Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave6
6Coral scored#1
28Coral points3
34Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +22
24Coral scored#16
87Coral points59
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
12Processor points18
24Net points24
36Algae points42
123Total teleop101
Reef
12L4#6
5L3#3
8L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
161Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.5
59.159.5
Auto14.8
Teleop36.7
End8.9
red by 23.8
231
#7
36.60.7
35.636.3
Auto5.7
Teleop26.0
End4.9
Second
46.40.5
45.145.5
Auto7.4
Teleop30.7
End8.3
red by 16.9
29.50.7
28.529.2
Auto4.3
Teleop23.4
End1.8
Third
6974
#17
16.70.5
15.415.8
Auto3.4
Teleop10.9
End2.4
blue by 0.4
5503
#22
17.10.7
16.216.8
Auto2.3
Teleop11.8
End3.0