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Red48
750621.0
2718B21.9
949257.5
Blue70
636987.4
579017.8
677317.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12712760801001201401604870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9492
Unranked
57.50.0
57.557.5
Auto13.1
Teleop36.6
End7.8
blue by 29.8
6369
Unranked
87.40.0
87.487.4
Auto21.8
Teleop54.6
End11.0
Second
2718B
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto6.2
Teleop13.3
End2.4
red by 4.1
5790
Unranked
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End2.0
Third
7506
Unranked
21.00.0
21.021.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End5.0
red by 3.2
6773
Unranked
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End2.0