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Red107
1034050.0
521224.5
271843.8
Blue97
1001439.9
709110.7
284844.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133102020030040010797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10340
Unranked
50.00.0
50.050.0
Auto11.5
Teleop32.3
End6.1
red by 5.9
2848
Unranked
44.10.0
44.144.1
Auto13.2
Teleop30.5
End0.5
Second
2718
Unranked
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto12.4
Teleop26.7
End4.7
red by 3.9
10014
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto11.8
Teleop23.5
End4.6
Third
5212
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto3.2
Teleop20.5
End0.8
red by 13.8
7091
Unranked
10.70.0
10.710.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.8
End2.2