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Red54
636987.4
885835.0
677317.8
Blue114
1001439.9
543128.8
284844.1
62%Model gave it38%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167123010020030040050054114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6369
Unranked
87.40.0
87.487.4
Auto21.8
Teleop54.6
End11.0
red by 43.3
2848
Unranked
44.10.0
44.144.1
Auto13.2
Teleop30.5
End0.5
Second
8858
Unranked
35.00.0
35.035.0
Auto4.1
Teleop25.9
End5.0
blue by 4.9
10014
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto11.8
Teleop23.5
End4.6
Third
6773
Unranked
17.84.1
21.917.8
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End2.0
blue by 11.0
5431
Unranked
28.80.0
28.828.8
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.6