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Red68
541714.8
951218.1
42953.1
Blue58
61809.3
23127.4
85919.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4457020801001206858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +5
7Coral scored#11
26Coral points39
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
38Total teleop43
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
20Foul points2
68Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9512
#12
18.10.1
18.518.6
Auto2.9
Teleop14.1
End1.1
blue by 9.3
231
#11
27.40.1
25.926.0
Auto6.4
Teleop17.4
End3.6
Second
5417
#27
14.80.1
12.412.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.6
End0.5
red by 5.3
8591
#17
9.50.1
8.08.2
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Third
4295
#31
3.10.1
4.04.1
Auto1.4
Teleop1.4
End0.2
blue by 6.1
6180
#19
9.30.1
10.010.1
Auto0.6
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsEarned62%Barge oddsMissed