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Red59
373520.2
857617.7
463927.6
Blue54
62431.4
66458.8
421914.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7564020401001205954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +5
9Coral scored#7
31Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
39Total teleop34
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
4Foul points10
59Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4639
#16
27.60.7
26.625.9
Auto5.9
Teleop20.4
End1.3
blue by 3.8
624
#8
31.41.1
30.329.1
Auto7.6
Teleop19.3
End4.5
Second
3735
#15
20.20.8
20.419.6
Auto3.3
Teleop15.4
End1.5
red by 5.4
4219
#25
14.71.0
15.114.1
Auto2.9
Teleop9.6
End2.1
Third
17.70.8
17.116.3
Auto4.1
Teleop10.0
End3.7
red by 8.9
6645
#30
8.81.1
11.410.3
Auto0.2
Teleop6.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsMissed