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Red54
839211.3
42953.1
1011826.4
Blue27
28827.7
578814.3
373520.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566902040801001201401605427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +2
4Coral scored#3
16Coral points12
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
20Total teleop18
Reef
1L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
24Foul points4
54Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.42.9
19.716.8
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End7.6
red by 6.2
3735
#15
20.24.4
21.717.2
Auto3.3
Teleop15.4
End1.5
Second
8392
#14
11.32.9
16.113.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End0.5
blue by 2.9
5788
#22
14.34.4
20.215.8
Auto2.8
Teleop10.7
End0.8
Third
4295
#31
3.12.9
14.912.0
Auto1.4
Teleop1.4
End0.2
blue by 4.5
2882
#26
7.74.4
18.013.5
Auto2.0
Teleop1.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed