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Red113
62431.4
92897.4
147749.0
Blue83
463927.6
947817.5
1011826.4
73%Model gave it27%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105835015011383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+36Teleop
+24Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
4Coral scored#1
22Coral points6
22Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +26
15Coral scored#10
53Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
77Total teleop51
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +30
10Foul points4
113Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.00.2
48.849.0
Auto8.8
Teleop34.0
End6.2
red by 21.4
4639
#16
27.60.0
27.627.6
Auto5.9
Teleop20.4
End1.3
Second
624
#8
31.40.2
31.231.4
Auto7.6
Teleop19.3
End4.5
red by 5.0
26.40.0
26.426.4
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End7.6
Third
9289
#28
7.40.2
7.27.4
Auto2.4
Teleop4.7
End0.2
blue by 10.1
9478
#21
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End1.7