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Red112
62431.4
92897.4
147749.0
Blue101
463927.6
947817.5
1011826.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10380050150112101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+13Teleop
+15Endgame
+11Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
19Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +13
14Coral scored#12
49Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
73Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +11
6Foul points10
112Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.00.2
48.148.3
Auto8.8
Teleop34.0
End6.2
red by 21.4
4639
#16
27.60.2
26.626.8
Auto5.9
Teleop20.4
End1.3
Second
624
#8
31.40.2
30.530.7
Auto7.6
Teleop19.3
End4.5
red by 5.0
26.40.2
25.325.5
Auto4.5
Teleop14.3
End7.6
Third
9289
#28
7.40.2
6.56.7
Auto2.4
Teleop4.7
End0.2
blue by 10.1
9478
#21
17.50.2
16.316.5
Auto3.9
Teleop11.9
End1.7