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Red33
947810.4
881813.1
912111.3
Blue103
912848.5
303533.4
951715.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3110105015033103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+76
Endgame+78
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +62
2Coral scored#13
8Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
0Processor points6
4Net points20
4Algae points26
12Total teleop74
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#5
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
8Foul points0
33Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8818
#13
13.10.6
13.012.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.1
blue by 35.4
48.51.2
44.245.4
Auto12.9
Teleop29.2
End6.5
Second
9121
#21
11.30.6
8.57.8
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End1.0
blue by 22.1
33.42.0
29.331.3
Auto5.3
Teleop26.3
End1.8
Third
9478
#24
10.40.6
13.212.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.1
blue by 4.6
9517
#20
15.02.0
11.613.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsMissed