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Red47
905113.1
85917.6
582929.2
Blue33
94484.4
947810.4
912848.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions427202060801001201401604733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +11
4Coral scored#2
13Coral points8
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
0Processor points6
12Net points0
12Algae points6
25Total teleop14
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
7Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
14Foul points4
47Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5829
#12
29.20.5
22.922.4
Auto5.5
Teleop21.8
End1.9
blue by 19.3
48.52.1
45.443.3
Auto12.9
Teleop29.2
End6.5
Second
9051
#10
13.10.9
8.98.0
Auto2.6
Teleop8.6
End1.9
red by 2.8
9478
#24
10.42.1
12.510.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.1
Third
8591
#15
7.60.5
9.48.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.8
End0.9
red by 3.3
9448
#25
4.42.1
2.40.3
Auto1.5
Teleop0.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed