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Red31
881813.1
590816.5
912111.3
Blue92
147753.1
801923.7
947810.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions419502060801201401603192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+51
Endgame+59
Fouls+61
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +41
3Coral scored#13
12Coral points47
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
16Total teleop57
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points2
31Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5908
#17
16.51.5
16.114.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.4
blue by 36.6
53.10.2
48.348.5
Auto10.5
Teleop32.7
End9.9
Second
8818
#13
13.11.1
13.912.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.8
End1.1
blue by 10.6
8019
#16
23.70.2
23.023.2
Auto4.3
Teleop17.3
End2.1
Third
9121
#21
11.31.1
11.510.4
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End1.0
red by 0.9
9478
#24
10.40.2
10.310.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsEarned