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Red113
463935.2
258341.6
912111.3
Blue75
32432.2
582929.2
590816.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9385608010012014011375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+42Teleop
+42Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
2Coral scored#3
11Coral points16
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +38
15Coral scored#11
55Coral points41
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
12Processor points0
20Net points8
32Algae points8
87Total teleop49
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#5
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +38
2Foul points6
113Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.60.6
40.340.9
Auto9.9
Teleop31.0
End0.7
red by 9.5
324
#4
32.20.2
31.931.8
Auto5.4
Teleop23.4
End3.4
Second
35.20.6
33.934.5
Auto5.7
Teleop28.2
End1.3
red by 5.9
5829
#12
29.20.2
29.028.8
Auto5.5
Teleop21.8
End1.9
Third
9121
#21
11.30.6
10.010.6
Auto4.1
Teleop6.2
End1.0
blue by 5.2
5908
#17
16.50.2
16.316.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End1.4