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Red20
850712.4
461015.5
905417.0
Blue27
215810.9
957714.6
885820.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions667401002003004002027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +2
2Coral scored#2
6Coral points8
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
10Total teleop12
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points6
20Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9054
#26
17.04.3
21.717.4
Auto4.0
Teleop11.0
End2.1
blue by 3.1
8858
#28
20.15.5
25.319.8
Auto2.1
Teleop15.7
End2.4
Second
4610
#30
15.54.3
19.715.4
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End2.9
red by 0.9
9577
#19
14.65.5
15.09.5
Auto4.1
Teleop8.0
End2.5
Third
8507
#32
12.44.3
17.313.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End4.6
red by 1.5
2158
#35
10.95.5
24.018.6
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed