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Red25
461015.5
667232.3
215810.9
Blue89
331028.6
288139.9
851517.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818602040601001201401602589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+52
Endgame+62
Fouls+64
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +45
2Coral scored#11
8Coral points41
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
0Processor points12
4Net points4
4Algae points16
12Total teleop57
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#4
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +64
0Foul points2
25Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6672
#15
32.35.3
34.829.4
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End4.8
blue by 7.5
39.91.1
30.031.1
Auto7.2
Teleop26.8
End5.9
Second
4610
#30
15.55.3
19.013.7
Auto2.4
Teleop10.3
End2.9
blue by 13.1
3310
#27
28.61.1
28.229.3
Auto5.1
Teleop19.9
End3.6
Third
2158
#35
10.95.3
19.314.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.3
End1.7
blue by 6.8
8515
#17
17.71.1
18.719.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
51%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned