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Red88
1031211.0
840810.6
300560.0
Blue48
873216.7
97868.4
268728.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69510204060801001208848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+20Teleop
+12Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
4Coral scored#0
20Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +3
8Coral scored#5
27Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
31Total teleop28
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
30Foul points2
88Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.00.3
38.638.3
Auto15.8
Teleop38.2
End6.0
red by 32.0
2687
#24
28.00.4
22.421.9
Auto5.9
Teleop15.9
End6.2
Second
11.00.3
16.416.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End2.3
blue by 5.7
8732
#38
16.70.4
13.913.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End3.0
Third
8408
#29
10.60.3
5.65.3
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End2.1
red by 2.2
9786
#40
8.40.4
10.710.3
Auto1.4
Teleop5.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed