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Red127
586615.8
258240.5
288139.9
Blue101
885820.1
41838.5
840810.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101460206080120140160127101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +12
21Coral scored#18
76Coral points64
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
90Total teleop78
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#5
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#22
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
12Foul points12
127Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.52.1
36.338.4
Auto5.4
Teleop28.2
End6.9
red by 2.0
418
#9
38.53.6
28.331.9
Auto5.9
Teleop29.9
End2.7
Second
39.92.1
33.635.8
Auto7.2
Teleop26.8
End5.9
red by 19.7
8858
#28
20.13.6
11.515.1
Auto2.1
Teleop15.7
End2.4
Third
5866
#21
15.82.1
11.213.3
Auto2.0
Teleop11.0
End2.8
red by 5.2
8408
#29
10.63.6
3.57.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned