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Red123
874930.0
268728.0
851517.7
Blue111
637739.0
885820.1
246825.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions851014060120140160123111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+10
0Endgame0
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave6
3Coral scored#2
15Coral points10
15Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
17Coral scored#21
60Coral points77
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
82Total teleop91
Reef
7L4#10
6L3#7
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +12
12Foul points0
123Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.6
29.630.2
Auto3.4
Teleop19.9
End6.7
blue by 9.0
39.00.4
38.639.0
Auto6.2
Teleop30.6
End2.2
Second
2687
#24
28.00.6
27.628.2
Auto5.9
Teleop15.9
End6.2
red by 2.9
2468
#23
25.20.4
24.825.2
Auto4.2
Teleop17.4
End3.5
Third
8515
#17
17.70.6
17.317.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.6
End2.1
blue by 2.5
8858
#28
20.10.4
19.820.1
Auto2.1
Teleop15.7
End2.4