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Red74
79069.0
321635.9
300636.0
Blue104
743616.8
49856.5
316619.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions719502040608012014074104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+24
Fouls+30
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
26Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +32
8Coral scored#14
28Coral points50
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
0Processor points6
8Net points12
8Algae points18
36Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#6
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
6Foul points12
74Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.2
25.525.7
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End4.7
blue by 20.5
498
#2
56.50.7
44.745.4
Auto12.7
Teleop38.2
End5.6
Second
35.90.2
25.826.0
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End2.8
red by 16.9
3166
#17
19.01.1
18.019.1
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.1
Third
7906
#29
9.00.2
14.514.8
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End0.9
blue by 7.8
7436
#16
16.81.1
19.420.5
Auto4.1
Teleop11.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed