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Red56
105610.8
459810.5
800520.1
Blue73
210238.6
593311.0
455031.2
42%Model gave it58%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7274506080905673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+29
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +29
6Coral scored#11
21Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
31Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
56Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8005
#20
20.11.5
20.819.3
Auto5.9
Teleop11.9
End2.4
blue by 18.5
38.60.0
25.325.2
Auto7.3
Teleop27.6
End3.7
Second
1056
#24
10.81.5
22.120.5
Auto3.6
Teleop4.4
End2.8
blue by 20.3
4550
#26
31.20.0
25.425.4
Auto2.9
Teleop25.8
End2.4
Third
4598
#36
10.51.5
20.719.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
blue by 0.4
5933
#37
11.00.0
17.417.4
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed