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Red88
913811.0
742660.5
763412.4
Blue67
459810.5
328811.6
321635.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94652040801201401608867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+21Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
12Coral scored#11
43Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
61Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
88Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.1
52.852.8
Auto14.7
Teleop38.2
End7.6
red by 24.6
35.90.2
28.728.5
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End2.8
Second
7634
#32
12.40.1
13.313.4
Auto2.7
Teleop9.1
End0.5
red by 0.7
3288
#27
11.60.2
15.114.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End2.8
Third
9138
#30
11.00.1
15.115.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End1.9
red by 0.4
4598
#36
10.50.2
19.719.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsMissed