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Red108
585138.3
316619.0
321635.9
Blue99
548022.8
455031.2
364818.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions826720406010012010899

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+19Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
17Coral scored#16
60Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
12Processor points6
20Net points12
32Algae points18
92Total teleop76
Reef
6L4#6
7L3#4
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
108Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5851
#15
38.32.7
29.031.7
Auto4.3
Teleop32.2
End1.8
red by 7.1
4550
#26
31.22.8
22.325.0
Auto2.9
Teleop25.8
End2.4
Second
35.92.7
27.430.2
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End2.8
red by 13.1
5480
#13
22.81.7
19.220.9
Auto2.9
Teleop17.9
End2.0
Third
3166
#17
19.02.7
12.815.6
Auto4.7
Teleop12.2
End2.1
red by 1.0
3648
#14
18.02.8
18.921.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned