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Red111
494432.8
300636.0
324541.8
Blue122
455031.2
742660.5
585138.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041286080120140160180111122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points15
30Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +9
11Coral scored#16
41Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
67Total teleop76
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points6
111Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.81.6
34.836.4
Auto11.1
Teleop28.4
End2.3
blue by 18.7
60.50.2
52.953.1
Auto14.7
Teleop38.2
End7.6
Second
36.01.6
29.230.8
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End4.7
blue by 2.3
5851
#15
38.30.4
31.732.1
Auto4.3
Teleop32.2
End1.8
Third
32.81.6
30.431.9
Auto5.5
Teleop25.2
End2.0
red by 1.6
4550
#26
31.20.4
25.025.4
Auto2.9
Teleop25.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed38%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned