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Red58
321635.9
189120.4
429324.2
Blue19
324322.7
641110.7
913811.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions874402060801001201405819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+41Teleop
+41Endgame
+39Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +41
9Coral scored#1
31Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
45Total teleop4
Reef
3L4#1
4L3#0
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#1
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points2
58Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.91.6
30.128.5
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End2.8
red by 13.2
3243
#22
22.72.8
19.116.3
Auto3.7
Teleop15.7
End3.3
Second
4293
#10
24.21.7
20.719.0
Auto5.7
Teleop17.5
End1.0
red by 13.2
9138
#30
11.02.8
10.07.1
Auto3.3
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Third
1891
#31
20.41.6
22.520.9
Auto3.6
Teleop15.3
End1.6
red by 9.7
6411
#33
10.73.0
15.112.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed