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Red85
328811.6
212255.8
259417.8
Blue88
300636.0
49856.5
593311.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7397204060801201408588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+13
Endgame+3
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points18
23Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +9
8Coral scored#12
30Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
48Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points0
85Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.80.9
48.048.9
Auto15.0
Teleop30.4
End10.3
blue by 0.7
498
#2
56.50.2
48.748.5
Auto12.7
Teleop38.2
End5.6
Second
2594
#38
17.81.4
12.614.0
Auto4.1
Teleop12.1
End1.7
blue by 18.2
36.00.3
30.830.5
Auto11.3
Teleop19.9
End4.7
Third
3288
#27
11.61.4
10.912.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End2.8
red by 0.7
5933
#37
11.00.3
11.311.0
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsMissed